After counseling over 1,500 clients seeking to start new businesses, it’s troubling so many of them seem possessed with what can be called the Zuckerberg, venture capital, or hockey stick plan to starting a business.
I typically read 3 to 5 startup business plans a week. So many are simply outrageous just because of the projected growth curves.
Everyone thinks they are the next multi-million or billion dollar startup. They find the need to project $15-20 million of revenue in a couple of years to get funding. This was illustrated recently by the response of a client. I asked her the basis of her forecast which showed a sales growth rate of 15-20% per week. When asked about her assumptions she said,
“That’s what the venture capital firms say they want.”
In contrast, many studies of entrepreneurs from IDEO to Malcolm Gladwell contend that slow but steady, multiple product developments, experience, and testing are the best predictors of success. [Read more…]